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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.41vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+5.26vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+5.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+1.96vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+3.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12-0.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+0.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.21vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.89+2.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.44-3.81vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-3.16vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.38-1.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.11-2.86vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.96-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.88Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.68SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.84Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.35Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Augie Dale | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Raul Rios | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| John Nothacker | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 34.9% |
| Colin MURPHY | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 14.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 23.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.