Race 12A

thompson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ian Barrows 13.2% 11.4% 9.6% 10.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 7.5% 6.2% 4.8% 4.1% 4.4% 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Avery Fanning 12.2% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 10.6% 7.4% 7.9% 8.4% 5.2% 5.7% 3.9% 1.5% 3.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Eddie Cox 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 7.1% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 7.0% 6.0% 8.8% 7.7% 3.5% 2.5%
Connor Corgard 8.2% 8.6% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 9.4% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 5.1% 6.8% 5.3% 2.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7%
Michael Drumm 3.9% 4.9% 5.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.6% 5.6% 6.5% 6.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 7.1% 3.0%
Dan Nickerson 5.3% 5.0% 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 6.8% 6.3% 5.7% 6.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.7% 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 3.6% 1.6%
Alecsander Tayler 5.4% 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.1% 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 6.7% 8.3% 7.1% 7.8% 6.8% 6.6% 3.6% 2.1%
Raul Rios 13.1% 12.5% 10.3% 9.4% 8.6% 7.1% 8.9% 6.1% 6.1% 4.6% 4.4% 2.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Nate Jermain 4.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 6.7% 8.0% 7.9% 6.5% 6.5% 6.7% 5.2% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3%
Daniel Lawless 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.3% 5.6% 5.3% 6.7% 8.2% 9.1% 12.0% 14.7% 14.0%
John Nothacker 1.8% 0.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5% 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 5.4% 8.1% 10.0% 16.3% 35.0%
Bryce Kopp 4.9% 6.0% 4.8% 6.4% 5.8% 6.4% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 8.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.5% 6.8% 6.7% 5.9% 2.3%
Colin MURPHY 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 6.3% 6.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.9% 7.2% 5.9% 7.0% 8.1% 5.3% 5.0% 4.8% 3.8% 1.6%
Sterling Henken 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.6% 4.0% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 9.0% 11.6% 12.4% 7.4%
Nicholas Clemence 5.6% 6.1% 7.0% 4.9% 6.7% 5.6% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 7.4% 6.3% 5.2% 3.6% 2.2%
Augie Dale 6.3% 6.7% 9.1% 7.8% 8.5% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 6.3% 4.6% 4.8% 4.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7%
Soren Walljasper 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 4.1% 6.3% 5.2% 6.5% 10.7% 18.6% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.