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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.69vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.11+10.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+1.95vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+2.26vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.85vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.44+1.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.48vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-1.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-2.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-2.99vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-3.80vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-4.04vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.89vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.89-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.61Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.26Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.89Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.96Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.2Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 25.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 15.9% |
| Sterling Henken | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| John Nothacker | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.