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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+6.99vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.77+5.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.36+4.47vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.83+2.20vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.90-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.26vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.78vs Predicted
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10Unknown School0.61-1.42vs Predicted
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11Unknown School0.03-0.10vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.12-2.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.74-5.81vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.07-8.04vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.34-1.12vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.34vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.41-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Hawaii2.4128.9%1st Place
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8.99University of Hawaii0.474.4%1st Place
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8.01University of South Florida0.775.6%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.5011.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Hawaii0.363.9%1st Place
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8.2University of South Florida0.834.5%1st Place
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6.96University of Southern California0.906.9%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.087.8%1st Place
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10.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.4%1st Place
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8.58Unknown School0.614.1%1st Place
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10.9Unknown School0.032.1%1st Place
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12.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.2%1st Place
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10.11University of Hawaii0.122.6%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Berkeley0.745.3%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.077.2%1st Place
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14.88Rutgers University-1.340.9%1st Place
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15.66University of California at San Diego-2.050.5%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Davis-1.410.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 28.9% | 22.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julian Skerrett | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kees Horn | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Maggie Rickman | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matt Young | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 25.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 22.9% | 37.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 24.2% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.