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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+9.23vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.06vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+1.89vs Predicted
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4Boston University4.07+4.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+3.36vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.50+5.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.79vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-0.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.42vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.77+3.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.43-3.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-4.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.33-1.41vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.34-6.50vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-3.88vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.65-5.38vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-1.89vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia3.01-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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4.89Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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11.08Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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13.91Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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11.12Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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10.62Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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15.11Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| John Stokes | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Robert Vann | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 21.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Blair Davis | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 39.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.