← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.73+5.08vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.01vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.72+3.29vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.27+4.03vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.34+6.25vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.91+3.55vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.11+1.61vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.16+0.23vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.12vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.39-2.61vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.77-4.67vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.98vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.65-6.34vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University2.54-3.15vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-4.52vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-7.46vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin0.74-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.08Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
6.29Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.03University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.25Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.55Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
-
8.61Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.23Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.12SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
7.39Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.33Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
-
6.66Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.85Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
-
10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
-
15.58University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Joseph David | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 24.3% | 15.9% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Ian Walter | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.