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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+4.71vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+3.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.91+5.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+4.87vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.34+5.60vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.74+8.60vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+1.08vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.21vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-3.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.27-2.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.39-4.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.32vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.54-3.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.65-9.04vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.80vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.16-9.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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14.6University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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8.08Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.7Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.9Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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12.2SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph David | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Weis | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 5.6% |
| Ian Walter | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 61.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 23.1% | 16.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.