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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+4.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+2.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+1.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+0.85vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+2.01vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.54+3.04vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.95vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-1.18vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.91-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-4.59vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-2.39vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-7.37vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.39-8.97vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.74-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.78Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.95SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Swain | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Ian Ikeda | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 23.0% | 14.7% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Joseph David | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Michael Booker | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Walter | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.