← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+7.23vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.65+3.97vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.72+2.77vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.73+1.96vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.54+4.99vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University3.11+1.97vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.91+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.34+2.46vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.77-3.35vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.20vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.16-3.27vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.39-5.08vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.27-5.67vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-5.36vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.75vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.74-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
-
5.97Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
5.77Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
5.96Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.99Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
-
7.97Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.73Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
-
10.46Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
5.65Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
7.73Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.92Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
-
12.25SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
14.61University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 3.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Joseph David | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 9.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 25.2% | 15.6% |
| Ian Walter | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.