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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+6.76vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+4.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+1.87vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.39vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.54+4.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-1.81vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.91-1.40vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16-3.13vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.39-5.06vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-2.39vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-8.40vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.00vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-7.08vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.74-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.0Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.0SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Ian Ikeda | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 12.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph David | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 14.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Ian Walter | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 13.6% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.