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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+4.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.61vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.34+7.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+2.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+2.97vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27+0.51vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.54+1.82vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-3.30vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16-2.11vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.91-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-3.24vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.93vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.74vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.39-8.96vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.74-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.82Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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12.07SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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14.62University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 3.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 5.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Joseph David | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 23.6% | 14.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Walter | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.