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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+6.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+4.02vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.16+4.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27+3.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72-0.12vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73-1.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.39-1.23vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.91-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-1.17vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-5.33vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.54-2.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.36vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.34-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.74-1.42vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.87-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.84Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.94Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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14.58University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 3.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
| Ian Walter | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 65.2% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.