Race 10B

thompson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Duncan Swain 10.3% 12.6% 9.7% 9.0% 8.9% 8.5% 7.3% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 5.5% 3.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Joseph Kiss 11.7% 11.4% 10.6% 9.4% 10.7% 6.7% 7.6% 7.3% 7.4% 4.6% 3.6% 3.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Charles Sinks 12.5% 10.2% 9.8% 8.6% 10.2% 9.7% 9.0% 6.0% 7.3% 5.5% 4.0% 3.4% 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Cooper Nefsky 2.1% 3.4% 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 5.3% 5.8% 6.8% 9.0% 11.1% 10.9% 15.9% 7.1%
Michael Booker 6.6% 7.6% 6.8% 8.0% 6.3% 9.0% 8.6% 6.6% 7.7% 6.7% 7.5% 5.6% 6.5% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Jonathan Lutz 5.0% 3.9% 6.1% 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 7.9% 8.3% 6.7% 6.7% 5.1% 1.4%
Ian Ikeda 3.6% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 5.2% 4.8% 8.0% 7.3% 8.4% 10.4% 12.0% 11.1% 4.6%
Joseph David 4.9% 5.6% 5.9% 6.3% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 8.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.0% 9.0% 9.6% 6.3% 4.6% 1.3%
Connor Godfrey 6.4% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 5.9% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 5.9% 3.3% 1.1%
Mackenzie Bryan 11.1% 9.4% 11.1% 10.5% 9.8% 9.1% 9.3% 8.0% 5.3% 5.1% 4.2% 3.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Hunter Johnstone 9.2% 7.9% 8.9% 7.4% 5.7% 7.7% 7.3% 8.9% 8.2% 6.7% 6.8% 5.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Kayla Ellis 3.9% 4.5% 2.8% 3.6% 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 8.9% 8.5% 12.0% 9.8% 3.4%
Christopher Weis 3.8% 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.2% 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.4% 7.7% 7.7% 5.3% 1.4%
Gram Slattery 6.4% 6.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 8.0% 7.5% 8.6% 6.0% 6.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Austin Buonsignore 2.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 6.0% 7.4% 8.5% 13.3% 24.9% 14.4%
Ian Walter 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.8% 7.3% 12.3% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.