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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.07+5.69vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+7.70vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+1.80vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.47+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.59+2.55vs Predicted
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7Unknown School0.61+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.36vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+3.27vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.83-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-4.49vs Predicted
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12Unknown School0.03-1.52vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-2.69vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.77-6.37vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.13-4.71vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.34-1.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.41-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69University of South Florida1.078.4%1st Place
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9.7University of Hawaii0.123.8%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California1.4014.3%1st Place
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8.71University of Hawaii0.475.8%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.5014.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Hawaii0.594.7%1st Place
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8.44Unknown School0.615.9%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Berkeley0.585.5%1st Place
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12.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.9%1st Place
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7.9University of South Florida0.837.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Barbara1.089.1%1st Place
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10.48Unknown School0.033.5%1st Place
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10.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.833.5%1st Place
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7.63University of South Florida0.777.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Hawaii0.132.8%1st Place
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14.72Rutgers University-1.340.9%1st Place
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15.4University of California at San Diego-2.050.6%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Davis-1.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Luke Harris | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Julian Skerrett | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gardiner Van Ness | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Rickman | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Grace Jones | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Young | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Jack Kisling | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zach Brennan | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 23.8% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 22.2% | 35.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.