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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+4.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+5.25vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.91+5.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+3.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+1.82vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39+0.02vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.75vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.34+0.56vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-5.34vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.11-4.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.65-6.89vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.74+0.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.41vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.54-5.94vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.87-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.94Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.11Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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14.55University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.06Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.2SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Joseph David | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.9% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 5.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Walter | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 63.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Austin Buonsignore | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.