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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.75+7.68vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+5.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.71+6.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+3.16vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+0.98vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.44vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+4.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.89vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-1.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-3.82vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-1.40vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-2.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.90-4.59vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-5.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-4.07vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.87-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.40-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.682.750.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.98Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.44SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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6.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.18Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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12.28Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Wisconsin1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Weis | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Walter Florio | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Maes | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 7.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| James Moody | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Schiff | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| Peter Hidley | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.