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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+5.12vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+7.41vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+4.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+5.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+0.95vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50-2.07vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+2.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.90-2.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-3.00vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-4.99vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.87-1.63vs Predicted
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152.75-6.19vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.71vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.40-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.41Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.05Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.37Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.812.750.1%1st Place
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11.29SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.72University of Wisconsin1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| James Moody | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Walter Florio | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Peter Hidley | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| Erik Weis | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Peter Maes | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.