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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+5.13vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+3.93vs Predicted
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32.75+5.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+3.05vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.78vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+3.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.77vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.19-0.97vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+0.62vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-1.87vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.87+1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-4.02vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.80vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-5.96vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.40-2.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.912.750.1%1st Place
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7.05Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.25Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Wisconsin1.400.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Erik Weis | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| James Moody | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Peter Hidley | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Peter Maes | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% |
| Walter Florio | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 34.1% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.