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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+5.78vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+3.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+5.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+5.53vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+1.07vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.19+1.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+1.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.19vs Predicted
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92.75+0.07vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.99vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.65vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.87+0.16vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-2.84vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.40-2.23vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.71-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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9.072.750.0%1st Place
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10.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.16Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Wisconsin1.400.0%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Moody | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Erik Weis | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Schiff | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
| Peter Maes | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 34.7% |
| Walter Florio | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.