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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+5.10vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+3.87vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+6.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.90+4.35vs Predicted
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52.75+3.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.10vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.87vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.11vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.97vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-3.43vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.71-4.80vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.40-1.36vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.87-3.71vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.19-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.87Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.43Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.72.750.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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9.2Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Wisconsin1.400.0%1st Place
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12.29Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.26Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| James Moody | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Erik Weis | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Peter Maes | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Walter Florio | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 35.6% |
| Peter Hidley | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.