← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.50+4.99vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.25+4.95vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.98+5.11vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.42vs Predicted
-
52.75+3.82vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.61+3.77vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.52vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.21-0.90vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.43-2.40vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.19-2.81vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.25vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.99-3.94vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.87-0.61vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.51vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.90-6.55vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.40-2.20vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.99Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
6.95Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.11Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.822.750.1%1st Place
-
9.77Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
-
7.1Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
6.6Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.19Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
11.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
-
8.06University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
12.39Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.49SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.45Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
13.8University of Wisconsin1.400.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Herrin | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Erik Weis | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Peter Hidley | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| Peter Maes | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% |
| James Moody | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Amelia Shankwitz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 34.2% |
| Joseph Schiff | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.