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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.24vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+8.75vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+6.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+2.55vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.70+1.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.73-1.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-2.93vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45+1.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-2.39vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.83vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-7.12vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-2.98vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-5.53vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.65Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.2Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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11.47Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 23.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 21.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.