← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.64+7.24vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.73+5.70vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+4.75vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.72+3.49vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.70+2.66vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.97vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.98+3.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.63-0.12vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island3.05+1.47vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.84+1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin3.36-1.71vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.05-1.20vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.49-4.62vs Predicted
-
14University of Buffalo2.44-1.43vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.70-7.40vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.68-3.96vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.17-6.96vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.45-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.24Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
7.7Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.75Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.49Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.66Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
10.74Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.88University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.47University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.66Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
10.8Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.38Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
12.57University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
7.6Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
12.04Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
-
12.72Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| Scott Houck | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 19.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| John Silvestri | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.