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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+7.80vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+5.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.55vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-0.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+1.74vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.70-2.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-3.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.60vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.25vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44-1.38vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-3.67vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.51vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.73-9.35vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.74Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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11.33Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 21.7% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 19.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.