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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.81vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+7.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+6.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+6.82vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+4.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+0.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-0.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-1.79vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-1.12vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-1.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.17-4.39vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.70-7.40vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-2.96vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-3.98vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.63-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.52Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.67Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.21Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.2Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Scott Houck | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 20.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 20.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.