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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+8.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+5.87vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+4.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+3.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17+4.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+1.96vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+0.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-0.51vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-2.11vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-1.15vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.29vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-2.96vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-4.31vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-5.47vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-4.81vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo2.44-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.51Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.04Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.53Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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12.19Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| John Silvestri | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 20.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.7% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.