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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.81vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+5.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.19vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+5.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+6.81vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.57vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+0.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-0.11vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-1.48vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.98+1.04vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+1.95vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-1.14vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-4.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.17-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-5.48vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-5.52vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo2.44-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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12.95Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.86Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.48Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| John Silvestri | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 21.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Scott Houck | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.