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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+5.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.17+7.23vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.68+7.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+2.56vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+4.43vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63-0.13vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-0.62vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.95vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-4.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-5.58vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-3.61vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-3.69vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-5.50vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo2.44-3.92vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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11.81Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.64Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.31Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Madigan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 22.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.