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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.79vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+10.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+4.84vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+3.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.90vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+1.45vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+1.64vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-0.41vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-3.74vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-5.51vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-7.13vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-3.01vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.73-9.28vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.84Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.64Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.26Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.7Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Scott Houck | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 21.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.