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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+8.71vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.86vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+2.91vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+0.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36+0.05vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.70-2.07vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84+0.45vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-0.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.23vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.68-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-4.59vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-2.97vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-3.96vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.72-10.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.93Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.45Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.15Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 22.1% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 21.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.