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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+7.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+6.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+3.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+5.10vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.77vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+5.50vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+3.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.81vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-1.19vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.91vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-3.85vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.25-5.50vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo0.75+1.58vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-9.21vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.00vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.45-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.08Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.15Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.5Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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16.58University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.84Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 4.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Rory Mess | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 68.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 10.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.