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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+7.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.51vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+8.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.28vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+4.20vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+0.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.75vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+2.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.75+5.51vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.87vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-1.42vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.41-6.93vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-3.92vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.41-8.73vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.95-8.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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16.51University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.19Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.08Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 4.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Rory Mess | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 10.4% | 69.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 9.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.