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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+5.52vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+7.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+3.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+4.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41+2.13vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.66vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-1.35vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+2.46vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-1.62vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21+1.99vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.93-1.48vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.25-4.34vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-4.32vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-3.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.73vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.13-7.58vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.52Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.66Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.93Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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16.41University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 11.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 5.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Rory Mess | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 12.2% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.