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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+5.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+5.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+2.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+5.00vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19-0.49vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.33+4.20vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07+0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01+3.41vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.34-2.64vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.50-0.29vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-1.47vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.65-2.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-6.47vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-0.76vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.77-2.91vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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5.74St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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4.51Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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10.71Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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10.53Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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10.14Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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14.24Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.09Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Stokes | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 17.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Stessing | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Robert Vann | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Blair Davis | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 40.5% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 19.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.