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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+7.32vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+7.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.21vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.25+3.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+4.02vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+0.06vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+3.89vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-0.45vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-3.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-3.84vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-3.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.88vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.77-8.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.69vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-4.87vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.75Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.08Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.89Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.55Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.13Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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16.41University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 9.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 6.4% |
| Rory Mess | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 11.1% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.