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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+7.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.16+7.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.93vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.19vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+7.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+1.90vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-1.78vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+0.39vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-4.99vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-1.18vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.92vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.89vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.94-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.23vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo0.75-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.74Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.39Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.82Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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16.4University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 10.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 6.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Rory Mess | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 11.3% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.