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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+6.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+5.76vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+2.89vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+5.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+0.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-1.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76+0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-1.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.00+3.69vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-0.94vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-3.65vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.19-7.25vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.34-4.64vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-3.13vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.16-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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15.69University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.36Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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13.87Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Will La Dow | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ian Storck | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 47.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 8.0% |
| James Kennedy | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Champa | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 17.8% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.