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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+6.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+3.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+2.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+2.49vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+4.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.92vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74-2.28vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-1.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.34+1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-2.47vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.19-3.82vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-1.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-2.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.76-5.47vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.14vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.00-1.48vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.08-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.72Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.48Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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13.86Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Storck | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Kennedy | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Will La Dow | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 46.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.