← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+5.02vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+6.08vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.65+3.21vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.27+2.50vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.49+4.66vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.27+0.51vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.24-0.50vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.60-2.83vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.20vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin3.04-2.42vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.19+0.10vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.19-5.25vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.16-2.40vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.34-3.78vs Predicted
-
16University of Buffalo1.00-0.47vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.08-4.63vs Predicted
-
18Washington College1.63-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.02Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.08Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.21Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.5University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.66Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.51Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.5Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
6.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.8U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.58University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
12.1University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
7.75Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
11.6Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
-
11.22Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
-
15.53University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
-
12.37Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
13.61Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Michael Booker | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| James Kennedy | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Champa | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Dante Iozzo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 46.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.