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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.48vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+5.85vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+4.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.76vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+2.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.65+0.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-1.19vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16+3.80vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49+1.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.22vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.19-3.05vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08+0.51vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-5.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-3.28vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.15vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.34-5.67vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.11Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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5.81Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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13.85Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.33Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Booker | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Storck | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 6.7% |
| James Kennedy | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 21.0% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.