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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+3.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.34+5.29vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+2.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+4.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.29vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.16vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07+1.42vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.50+2.41vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.94vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.43-3.03vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-0.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.59vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.33-1.68vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.77-0.87vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.65-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-3.70vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.41Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.62Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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10.02Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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14.31Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Robert Vann | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 12.6% |
| Blair Davis | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.