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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+5.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+5.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+3.51vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+2.52vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.84vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49+3.61vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19+3.72vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-1.22vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-2.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.29vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08+0.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.65-6.98vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.34-3.08vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.19-7.23vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.16-3.98vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-3.10vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo1.00-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.92Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.77Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.9Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| James Kennedy | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 6.0% |
| Ian Storck | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% |
| Duncan Swain | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Champa | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.