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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+5.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+4.27vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.02vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.34+7.11vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+2.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27-0.60vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08+3.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.19+2.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.12vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.27-5.58vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.16-2.42vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-4.43vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo1.00-0.46vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-3.17vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.19-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.11Yale University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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12.22Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.58Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.57Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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15.54University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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13.83Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Swain | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Champa | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Booker | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 6.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| James Kennedy | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 46.6% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 20.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.