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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+10.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+7.93vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.60vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+5.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.27vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.14vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+2.40vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.47vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-0.89vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-0.60vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-1.38vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-1.02vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-1.77vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.80-7.30vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.49-8.00vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.73-9.98vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.65-10.71vs Predicted
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20Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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9.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.14SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.53Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.98Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.23Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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18.36Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 2.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 2.1% |
| Hans Henken | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.