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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.73vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+10.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.71vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+4.88vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+2.66vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.80+0.75vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+1.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-0.98vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-0.82vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-3.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.36vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.68vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-5.81vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-7.01vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-6.68vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-5.83vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-7.66vs Predicted
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20Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.14Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.66College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.99George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.17Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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18.37Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 2.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 1.5% |
| Joel Florek | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 86.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.