← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.80+6.82vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.65+6.44vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.25+7.23vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.77vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.60vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.49+2.11vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College3.23+2.46vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.89vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.18+0.41vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.82-3.37vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-2.66vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.80-2.13vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University3.49-5.81vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.77-3.96vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.47-7.97vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.55vs Predicted
-
19Roger Williams University3.73-11.05vs Predicted
-
20Michigan Technological University-0.05-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.82Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.44College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.23Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
10.2SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
10.77University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.11Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.46Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.41Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
7.63Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
10.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
-
11.87Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
9.19George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
12.04Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
9.03Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.95Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
18.36Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 2.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 1.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 86.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.