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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+7.15vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+10.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.27vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+4.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+3.81vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+2.31vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.06vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+1.85vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-1.65vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18+0.19vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.40vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-3.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.08vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-3.13vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.73-8.56vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.76vs Predicted
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19George Washington University3.49-9.39vs Predicted
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20Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.88Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.85Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.87Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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19.42Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 1.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Hans Henken | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Jacob La Dow | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 1.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Joel Florek | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 88.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.