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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.06vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.80+5.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+5.55vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80+6.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+3.03vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+2.90vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+1.76vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-0.16vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77+2.03vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-2.06vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.82vs Predicted
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14Michigan Technological University-0.05+5.45vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.14vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.97vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.73-9.32vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-12.03vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.25-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.19Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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12.99Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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13.03Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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19.45Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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12.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hans Henken | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 2.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Joel Florek | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 87.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.