← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.47+3.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.51+5.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California-0.12+6.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.31+0.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.29+2.89vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.770.00vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.45+0.25vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.44vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.99-3.43vs Predicted
-
10Unknown School-1.07+2.45vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-0.52vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+0.50vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.87-0.79vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-2.42vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley-0.84-3.69vs Predicted
-
16University of Victoria0.13-7.63vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-2.15-1.31vs Predicted
-
18Rutgers University-2.83-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08University of Hawaii1.4719.8%1st Place
-
7.15University of Hawaii0.518.3%1st Place
-
9.16University of Southern California-0.124.3%1st Place
-
4.43University of Hawaii1.3115.3%1st Place
-
7.89University of Hawaii0.295.0%1st Place
-
6.0University of South Florida0.779.4%1st Place
-
7.25University of South Florida0.455.9%1st Place
-
8.44University of California at Santa Barbara0.064.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of South Florida0.9910.9%1st Place
-
12.45Unknown School-1.071.8%1st Place
-
10.48University of California at Santa Barbara-0.513.0%1st Place
-
12.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.2%1st Place
-
12.21University of California at San Diego-0.871.7%1st Place
-
11.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.7%1st Place
-
11.31University of California at Berkeley-0.842.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of Victoria0.134.9%1st Place
-
15.69University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
-
16.44Rutgers University-2.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 15.3% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Lemke | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 29.8% | 29.9% |
| Terry Nguyen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 19.8% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.