Race 4A

central-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Byrne 6.7% 8.0% 10.9% 13.7% 12.0% 15.5% 14.2% 11.7% 5.3% 2.0%
Michael Rush 46.2% 25.8% 16.0% 7.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Hulse 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 6.8% 8.7% 10.4% 14.4% 21.7% 19.6% 8.1%
Tom Charpentier 2.0% 4.2% 3.8% 5.6% 8.8% 10.8% 16.5% 21.0% 18.1% 9.2%
Jon Beery 8.4% 9.6% 11.1% 13.4% 16.2% 15.2% 13.6% 7.4% 3.9% 1.2%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 14.5% 17.8% 18.6% 15.8% 15.0% 9.4% 6.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 8.1% 13.6% 15.1% 15.5% 15.6% 14.8% 9.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Ian Donahue 10.2% 14.8% 16.4% 15.9% 14.4% 14.3% 8.7% 3.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Natalie Fohl 0.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 7.6% 12.9% 23.8% 42.1%
John Fonte 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 8.7% 14.3% 25.3% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.