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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.77+4.99vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.12+7.09vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.47+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.31-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.29+1.74vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.99-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.13-0.51vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+1.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.45-4.85vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.87-0.71vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.58vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.15+0.43vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.84-4.43vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-2.83-0.42vs Predicted
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18Unknown School-1.07-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99University of South Florida0.779.4%1st Place
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9.09University of Southern California-0.124.5%1st Place
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4.04University of Hawaii1.4718.3%1st Place
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7.16University of Hawaii0.516.6%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii1.3116.3%1st Place
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7.74University of Hawaii0.295.7%1st Place
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5.8University of South Florida0.9910.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Barbara0.065.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Victoria0.134.5%1st Place
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11.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.2%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Santa Barbara-0.512.6%1st Place
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7.15University of South Florida0.457.2%1st Place
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12.29University of California at San Diego-0.871.2%1st Place
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12.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.7%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Davis-2.150.5%1st Place
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11.57University of California at Berkeley-0.841.8%1st Place
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16.58Rutgers University-2.830.2%1st Place
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12.27Unknown School-1.072.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghislaine van Empel | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 18.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 16.3% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Lemke | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 27.7% | 29.6% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Terry Nguyen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 56.6% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.